Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.387975 0.429238 0.473560 0.524795 0.582494 0.645586 0.719958
2025-04-20 0.324414 0.382044 0.448537 0.531304 0.632087 0.751477 0.904585
2025-04-27 0.288219 0.353748 0.433051 0.536846 0.670228 0.837365 1.065011
2025-05-04 0.261653 0.331954 0.420365 0.540918 0.702873 0.915569 1.220448
2025-05-11 0.239899 0.312994 0.407971 0.542105 0.729381 0.985658 1.370034
2025-05-18 0.223968 0.299589 0.400763 0.548253 0.761531 1.064646 1.538850
2025-05-25 0.204674 0.279627 0.382431 0.536427 0.765965 1.103121 1.650527
2025-06-01 0.194141 0.270768 0.378460 0.544164 0.798711 1.185164 1.836626
2025-06-08 0.181572 0.257874 0.367436 0.540083 0.812534 1.238666 1.981970
2025-06-15 0.172698 0.249604 0.362355 0.544196 0.838839 1.313429 2.169907
2025-06-22 0.161679 0.237288 0.350183 0.536025 0.844301 1.354080 2.302735
2025-06-29 0.152523 0.227148 0.340539 0.530910 0.853948 1.401978 2.452971
2025-07-06 0.140298 0.211644 0.321731 0.509807 0.835454 1.400698 2.514491
2025-07-13 0.134848 0.206468 0.318969 0.515114 0.862857 1.482959 2.744844
2025-07-20 0.129888 0.201714 0.316481 0.520524 0.890634 1.568176 2.991206
2025-07-27 0.125039 0.196806 0.313352 0.524450 0.915840 1.650704 3.242258
2025-08-03 0.120054 0.191350 0.308902 0.525595 0.935791 1.724782 3.484742
2025-08-10 0.116283 0.187687 0.307229 0.531529 0.965160 1.820014 3.785604
2025-08-17 0.109867 0.179147 0.296577 0.520115 0.959780 1.844255 3.929672
2025-08-24 0.106957 0.176489 0.296066 0.527583 0.992293 1.949882 4.276480
2025-08-31 0.102472 0.170820 0.289831 0.523644 1.001296 2.006353 4.513384
2025-09-07 0.099460 0.167588 0.287786 0.527614 1.026821 2.101004 4.857515
2025-09-14 0.094945 0.161425 0.280011 0.519727 1.026664 2.138399 5.061246